Market Analysis for The Week of 3/15
Weekly Video Included
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After the Sunday night gap down and go, both ES and NQ held their respective major levels and the 200-sma. The relief rally was supported by a couple of “the war is over” headlines that weren’t remotely reflective of reality. A lot of chasing into the highs took place on Monday and Tuesday and it was a rather poor look. This ended up setting up Thursday’s “P-breakdown” trade that left the early week buyers trapped, and downside found continuation on Friday right back toward the major yearly levels. I have been projecting this as range low for some time and plan to respect it as such until it breaks. Should it continue to hold, then bulls can be “okay” and look to stage continued rallies. If it does break, however, then we may see a final capitulation leg lower that could turn into a fantastic long opportunity.
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