Market Analysis for The Week of 3/1
A Window of Opportunity
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The 2026 Equity Markets Year Ahead can be seen here: 2026 Equity Markets Year Ahead
Both ES and NQ have gone effectively nowhere for many months. We have been monitoring this multi-month balance very closely since October when the potential for a multi-month balance was identified. For the first time since the 2025 low, sellers have accomplished something significant on higher timeframes that cannot be ignored. It doesn’t mean a crash is imminent, but it means there is potential for at least a correction in the near future. Prior to now, any major selloff would have had to be a major liquidation break similar to August of 2024 and would have been a huge buy. Sellers have a window here into March, but if they take a shot and fail there is enough volume that could be trapped short to finally trigger a major upside break.
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