Market Analysis for The Week of 1/11
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The 2026 Equity Markets Year Ahead can be seen here: 2026 Equity Markets Year Ahead
This past week saw some nice two-way action as the battle for the ES/SPX breakout unfolded. The day trades on NQ/QQQ were particularly clean. Sellers had their chance coming into Friday but were brick walled by buyers once again. The week closed as an apparent breakout, but with SPY at an important upside extension and QQQ still ultimately rangebound (but looking strong). This week brings a prospective Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, VIX expiration, monthly options, expiration, CPI, and a number of other data points. On top of all this, Trump made an announcement Friday after the close that he would be capping interest rates on credit cards which will certainly have some impact on lenders. Realized volatility is incredibly low. Perhaps that begins to change this week (in either direction)
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