Market Analysis and Trades for 2/25
If you are looking to join the Discord (now separate from the newsletter) please see here: JOIN THE DISCORD Please email help@pharmdcapital.com if there are any technical issues. Plans/levels will be posted in the Discord so the Discord option includes Substack content but a new Substack subscription does not include Discord access.
Be sure you have read the Starter Kit, including the free section even if you’re a paid subscriber. Trading Doggy Style Starter Kit
The 2026 Equity Markets Year Ahead can be watched here: 2026 Equity Markets Year Ahead
The weekly post for SPY 0.00%↑ and QQQ 0.00%↑ should be reviewed prior to this. It can be found here Market Analysis for the Week of 2/22
Today was quite the day for the setups after the overnight session was just “okay.”
Here were all the setups for today:
On ES, the look above and fail of 6869-6873 played out overnight in a painfully slow manner, confirming premarket and resolving for 40+ handles. This then triggered the look below and fail of 29-33 for a long which produced low of day. This ultimately resolved 80 handles.
On NQ, 817-832 was initially defended overnight, but was definitely a disappointment as it only resolved 50 handles before the level was broken decisively.
However, almost hilariously, it triggered at the open and went 125+ in 6 minutes. This then triggered its long setup at the same time as for ES. This ultimately resolved for 350+ which may have been difficult to hold for, but the first 250 came in a flash. For those flat, shorting 947-969 worked for 140+ in 15 minutes. If one had been long from low of day and closed at 947-969, adding back on the hold of 817-832 was an option as a “synthetic runner.” The reclaim long option went for 200+
The above is a great example of how one could have taken nothing but shorts today and with discipline still been extremely green on a huge up day. Once a higher low and higher high was produced, it just took the discipline to shut it down on the short side. Those who chose the long side likely fared better, but trading is about making money not “being right” at the end of the day.
Paid Content Below or in the Discord